
July 2001
Let’s analyse why
the dotcom boom has gone so pear shaped; it’s quite
revealing and suggests that what we have seen to date is only
a phoney war anyway, and that the present round of burials may
well be proved to have been too hasty. Then there’s the
“banker factor” (BF) to consider – the high proportion
of investment bankers and advisers that flocked around the
early dotcom cash pots is also significant – these people
for the most part have never run a
real business in their lives, especially in the realm
of consumer marketplaces. So let’s not dismiss the entire
genre because of a disparate collection of hooray Henrys and
immature MBA students that knew how to talk the talk, but had
no clue as to how to walk the walk.
Sadly, the BF also
polluted a lot of the ecommerce pioneers and thinkers who were
forced to change their creative and visionary spots and prove
that few such souls are actually equipped to join their ideas
up with logistics of stock/catalogue management
the delivery process. And the biggest nightmare of all
– that day when real customers are on the phone asking the
sort of damn fool things that real customers always do.
The early assumptions
were that the low cost of connecting buyers to bucket shop
retailers would chase the high street out of existence because
of the reduced overheads of an online business. Well, nothing
there has changed in the fundamentals: high street rents and
staff salaries are still vastly more than the costs of running
a website, and will remain so. This was the first wave of so
called B2C internet propositions, lead so visibly by Amazon.
The stock in trade of Amazon was initially convenience, but it
quite smartly evolved in convenience plus information services
to support and encourage sales.
Contrast Amazon’s
lavish product information with that of just about every other
B2C retailer. Here is the world’s most impressive connected
information environment, but just look at the information a
site like Dixons provides on the products it’s flogging. No
more than the leaflets than the they hand out in the store.
Now, Dixons and the
rest of the wizened retailers who know about real customers
and real business might claim that this is because in the UK,
operations like the Trading Standards offices will be on them
like a ton of bricks if they link to information that
is not 100% accurate, and I agree that this may well be
the reason for the adoption of the simplest and the lowest
common denominator in consumer retail sites. But that’s no
reason to accept this without a struggle, because the
alternative of a site like epionions.com is sheer consumer
heaven. I have an inkling that people at Trading Standards
will be increasingly open to creative suggestions along these
lines.
By sheer dint of the
volume of garbage that’s “out there”, search engines
have become hopelessly ineffective ways of looking to buy
stuff on the net. Some attempts to create shopping portals and
price comparison sites have been tried and in limited areas
have got some success especially epinions and some other
“share your experiences” sites.
Volumes of information
is one of the things the internet does really well, even if
the management and access tools are deficient. EBay is
actually doing more business for its users than Amazon, and
that’s because eBay is doing something that cannot be done
any traditional way – a car boot sale in Cyberspace simply
puts more people in touch with other than any muddy field on a
Sunday morning. No mystical effort is required to understand
that.
Desktop Video IV –
the nightmare continues in Gotcha Gulch
This review of the B2C
scene was inspired by a recent experience of mine to source a
viable desktop video solution. For despite all those folks
inspired by the success of the “The Blair Witch Project”
and its legendary use of cheap video (interesting item on this
at http://www.insideout.co.uk/feats/feat_dvfilm.htm)
to produce a wonderful piece of hype that made obscene piles
of cash, have still not yet forced the manufacturers of the
products in this genre to get their acts together.
I have been dipping in
and out of the state of the desktop video scene since before
B2C hysteria, to see if the hype and promise of “easy video
editing on your PC” has got any closer to the reality, and
whilst I have to say that the brilliant new Adobe Premiere 6
is now doing to the overpriced DV editing products like Avid
and Media100 what InDesign has been steadily doing to the
likes of Quark Xpress, the ease of assembling a series of
hardware and software elements and expecting them to work
together – even a teensy bit – is still far more of an act
of more faith than really ought to be necessary.
Our old friends Sony
and JVC have some fabulous products – blighted with some
infuriating gotchas. Although still at large, the classic DV
gotcha of absence of a 2-way IEE1394 (“firewire”)
interface is gradually receding; after many happy years of
standard AA cells, D cell. PP3 and the like, the industry’s
inability to establish a standard Lithium Ion format is more
than just inconvenient.
The internet does
precious little to assist in the process of “browsing” for
such purchases in anything like the same way that a meatspace
encounter with a specialist retailer of the products can
provide. I am lucky enough to be able to call up my old mate
Bob Crabtree of Computer Video magazine and pick his brain
(what’s left of it…) to get the word from those who spent
many, many hours fiddling with installations and settings, so
I don’t have to. Things are a bit better, but desktop video
editing is still strictly for the extremely experienced or the
desperately lucky.
So is it any wonder
that the excitement of the first intrepid internauts who were
willing to put up with computers being computers was swept
away by the tide of consumers who find the average web
shopping experience to be utterly hopeless.
But < the interesting question remains, because what we have seen to
date isn’t even the “Model T”
implementation of the possibilities afforded by the
right technology in the hands of competent executioners –
what’s really going to happen when the online
shopping experience actually gets its act together with the
producers of products, and delivers on the promise..?
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