
February 2002
The post-war Conservative PM, Harold McMillan,
observed during the 1959 General Election that the voters had
"never had it so good". Well, I’d be so bold as to
suggest that IT consumers have not simply "never had it so
good", they are now utterly spoiled beyond belief. Philippe
Kahn, erstwhile founder of the once-mighty Borland software
business, once made an observation that has become something of a
de facto "law" that stated that the PC you really want
always costs $3k (so read £3k pounds in the usual manner that us
Brits get burned) has been downsized.
I reckon that £2k gets me just about anything I
could fancy in desktop hardware. In fact, to spend more, I’d
need to do some pretty daft and extreme things, like a video
editing card that would allow me to create Star-Wars grade effects
from my £399 handicam.
Technology has indeed gone barmy. Those
magnificent anoraks on BBC2’s Robot War’s cult show proudly
tell the viewers that their latest wheelchair-motor powered
behemoth, the fearsome "Son of Mangler" sports more than
a hundred times the processing power that was available to get the
US a manned landing on the moon. Nevertheless, their pride and joy
promptly gets flipped and then shredded by the brutal Hypnodisk
within 22 seconds. Sic transit Gloria mundi, as they say here in
Essex.
A gigabyte of RAM for £60? WHAT? I can remember
when 4Mbyte of RAM cost £100+. And just bear in mind that it
still only take one bit in the wrong place and the whole thing
crashes.
A 4MHz Z80 8 bit CPU was the biz 15 years ago. Now
it’s 2GHz of P4 for similar money.
Laser printers for £200? My first Canon LBP
weighed enough to give Arnold Swarzenegger a hernia, and cost
about £3k, when £3k would have bought you a decent car. A set of
output rollers for the bloody thing cost £220.
80Gbyte hard drives for £160..? Well, speechless.
If memory serves, my first 5.25" hard drive was a "full
width" 5Mbyte Rodime drive and cost somewhere close to £500.
I’m suffering a little selective amnesia to help soften the
shock of working out just how much money I must have poured down
the IT drain over the past 20 years.
What’s going on here..? Maybe it’s just the
old game of supply and demand, and maybe we just aren’t as aware
of the gloom and a recession in the US as we ought to be.
Those widescreen tellies seem to be about half the
price they were last year; plasmas are a bit cheaper at around
£2500 a pop, but decent LCD projectors are still hanging on to
tags of around £3k.
The one area in consumer technology where I reckon
vendors are still having a bit of a laugh with the punters (while
they can) is a (still) digital camera. Dear readers, many of you
are still paying more for one of these somewhat limited devices,
than a perfectly lovely 4mm or 8mm digital handycam that also does
stills to virtually the same quality.
One of the sneakier new product releases to watch
for in the "how can they possibly do it for that?"
bracket is coming up soon (possibly about the time this piece
appears) from a familiar UK name. £99 inc VAT will get you a
perfectly viable CLI screen phone and digital answering machine,
plus a half-VGA LCD (320x480) display and a fully interactive web
browser, as well as email service. It also plays classic computer
games on a rental basis.
Has the value of the £ suddenly soared while we
weren’t looking? There has been a certain amount of
"realignment" with Europe, but the present purchasing
power seems to be quite remarkable, and the exchange rate against
the US $ (the main currency for virtually all electronic
technology) has been plenty better even in recent-ish times. So
that can’t be it.
Is it because the internet has made instant price
transparency unavoidable in world trading? Of all the possible
reasons, this is one I like best, since the Internet is a
relatively new phenomenon that coincides quite closely with the
recent period of near zero inflation.
One of the more unnerving aspects of all this is
that vendors of IT kit have to shift three times a much product to
earn the same margin. How long would you be happy to work three
times a many hours to get the same pay, I wonder?
So make the most of the opportunity; and since
this edition of ‘Shopper is the one that spans the new year
(never mind the cover date), let’s try and make a resolution to
take advantage of these rare times to get the UK educational
system better equipped for the IT challenges of the moment. Sadly,
the "make do and mend" mindset of the Brits means that I
am certain that there will be enclaves of BBC Model B computers
still doing sterling service in a classroom somewhere.
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