The Home of the Future
June 2003
Who remembers Red Dwarf's inimitable Talkie
the Toaster? Such is the cult status of Talkie that you can easily
search the internet and download clips of the demented rantings of
this advanced domestic appliance as it tries to persuade anyone
within to ear shot to have a piece of toast.
There's a rich history of oddball ideas and
attempts to promote gizmos ranging from robot lawn mowers to
mechanical dog walking devices, many traceable back to the age of
over-optimistic post-WW2 innovation during the 1950s. Various "men
in white coats" have been doing their best to peer into the crystal
ball and decide where the home of the future and home automation is
headed, and most of the dafter concepts seem to result from
misguided assumptions concerning the scope of artificial
intelligence.
After a lot of hype in the eighties, artificial
intelligence has generally failed to live up to early expectations,
and the home of the present continues to fill up with more
predictable and desirable dumb gadgets – mostly aimed at
entertainment. Computers now appear embedded in all sorts of
domestic products, but mainly to try and simplify the user interface
– not replace the user altogether. By way of a reality check on the
uphill struggle that faces anyone attempting to introduce new
technology to the home, it’s worth noting that many homes still have
mechanical cam-based central heating timers and bimetallic strip
thermostats. Understandably, there is tendency to follow the oldest
and best advice in technology: if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
The awful truth of computing technology is that
it goes wrong rather a lot, and the more complex it is, the more
often it goes wrong. Those who read magazines like Computer Shopper
represent a fraction of the population that cares about how
computing works, most normal people are only interested in the
results. The average consumer will not be fascinated by the core
dump of the microcomputer controlling the garage door that slammed
shut as the car was halfway out.
Home automation is far from mainstream in new
houses; it is still mostly an enthusiast pursuit, catered for by
portals like www.automatedhome.com. Moreover, the use of electronics
is largely restricted to simple switching functions – home security
devices may claim to be microcomputer controller – but even the most
sophisticated security system is only a fancy set of switches of
relays. The moment an intruder alarm attempts to try and work out
the difference between a genuine intruder and a cat on the prowl,
the complexity of set-up, and scope for cock-up, escalates
enormously.
A house full of disparate intelligent
electronic systems requires maintenance, so perhaps it’s not
surprising that recent initiatives now seem to be agreeing that the
next big thing for domestic automation is not AI, but the use of
ever more pervasive presence of the network. Connecting the devices
together so that the overall system and the various components can
be continuously monitored from a central control facility is a
no-brainer; however, the mention of persistent and
pervasive networking with DSL is guaranteed to draw snarls from the
many people for whom the lack of DSL in their particular corner of
the UK is still a very sore point. Nevertheless, the idea that you
will soon be able to surf into your home automation system from any
web browser has an air of practical possibility that is bordering on
the inevitable.
Martyn Gilbert, founder of
Amino Communications (www.aminocom.com), is also a board
member of the Application Home Initiative (TAHI), a UK government
backed initiative (http://www.theapplicationhome.com/) that is
dedicated to accelerating the uptake of services to the connected
home. TAHI has facilitated various activities, including The Living
Space Consortium, of which Gilbert is the Chairman. The Living
Space is taking a radical look at pervasive broadband exploitation.
He is a firm believer in the importance of networks, and has an
interesting take on broadband:
“Although broadband is always desirable – the
issue for any domestic control network is the “always on” connection
that keeps everything from your toaster to greenhouse online and
capable of being monitored continuously. You don’t need 512k to do
that – less than 9600 bits per second can provide remote control and
management – but you do need the always-on element – dial-up polling
simply doesn’t enable the same range of possibilities.”
But however worthy and narrowband they may be,
precision central heating timers and intruder alarms are not going
to catch the consumer’s imagination, There needs to be a killer
application, and although the TAHI project members are in broad
agreement that a bandwidth gateway device will be a common
denominator, there is no clear consensus yet about a killer
application for this bandwidth. Most participants feel that there
will be a range of applications combining to achieve an overall
lethal status, but experience suggests that some sort of catalyst is
generally required to get a technology bandwagon to roll.
A home gateway is a grandiose name for a
network switch with a DSL or cable interface; so the spread of
affordable WiFi (802.11) wireless Ethernet systems has upped the
ante considerably. The possibility of domestic voice-over-IP
telephony is starting to be taken seriously – a VoIP connection to a
home gateway from a combined GSM and 80211 handset is not far away.
With bandwidth now permeating the home,
companies like FF Automation (http://www.ff-automation.com)
can introduce extremely small web servers aimed at "web enabling"
any device that contains a microprocessor. This type of technology
provides the potential to address and interrogate any device to
check its status and change the settings, in a coherent and
integrated home network.
Just as the internet has succeeded through its
commercial neutrality – despite the best efforts of companies like
AOL and Microsoft to make it a proprietary environment – the home of
the future will support and enable a vast array of suppliers through
the widespread adoption of common standards.
So then, anyone for a muffin?
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